東華大學圖書館 |

語系: 繁體中文

說明(常見問題)

回圖書館首頁

手機版館藏查詢

登入

回首頁 到查詢結果 [ subject:"United States- Economic conditions- 21st century." ]

切換: 標籤 | MARC模式 | ISBD

The leading economic indicators and ...

Guerard, John B.

FindBook

Google Book

Amazon

博客來

The leading economic indicators and business cycles in the United States = 100 years of empirical evidence and the opportunities for the future /

紀錄類型:	書目-電子資源 : Monograph/item
正題名/作者:	The leading economic indicators and business cycles in the United States/ by John B. Guerard.
其他題名:	100 years of empirical evidence and the opportunities for the future /
作者:	Guerard, John B.
出版者:	Cham :Springer International Publishing : : 2022.,
面頁冊數:	xxiv, 650 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ;24 cm.
內容註:	Chapter 1. Economic Growth and Business Cycles in the United States -- Chapter 2. Mr. Wesley Clair Mitchell: The Advent of U.S. and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 3. Measuring Business Activity, An Introductions to the Contributions of Mr. Persons, Mr. Schumpeter, Mr. Haberler, and Mr. Eckstein -- Chapter 4. Mr. Burns and Mr. Mitchell on Measuring Business Cycles -- Chapter 5. Mr. Geoffrey Moore and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 6. Mr. Victor Zarnowitz and Economic Forecasting, and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 7. Regression and Time Series Modeling of Real GDP, the Unemployment Rate, and the Impact of Leading Economic Indicators on Forecasting Accuracy -- Chapter 8. Granger-Causality Testing and LEI Forecasting of Quarterly Mergers and the Unemployment Rate -- Chapter 9. Active Management in Portfolio Selection and Management within Business Cycles and Present-Day COVID -- Chapter 10. Testing and Forecasting the Unemployment Rate with the Most Current Data, TCB LEI, data as of 11/05/2021 -- Chapter 11. Conclusions and Summary.
Contained By:	Springer Nature eBook
標題:	Economic indicators - United States. -
標題:	United States - Economic conditions - 21st century. -
電子資源:	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-99418-1
ISBN:	9783030994181

The leading economic indicators and business cycles in the United States = 100 years of empirical evidence and the opportunities for the future /
Guerard, John B.

The leading economic indicators and business cycles in the United States100 years of empirical evidence and the opportunities for the future /[electronic resource] :by John B. Guerard. - Cham :Springer International Publishing :2022. - xxiv, 650 p. :ill. (some col.), digital ;24 cm.

Chapter 1. Economic Growth and Business Cycles in the United States -- Chapter 2. Mr. Wesley Clair Mitchell: The Advent of U.S. and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 3. Measuring Business Activity, An Introductions to the Contributions of Mr. Persons, Mr. Schumpeter, Mr. Haberler, and Mr. Eckstein -- Chapter 4. Mr. Burns and Mr. Mitchell on Measuring Business Cycles -- Chapter 5. Mr. Geoffrey Moore and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 6. Mr. Victor Zarnowitz and Economic Forecasting, and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 7. Regression and Time Series Modeling of Real GDP, the Unemployment Rate, and the Impact of Leading Economic Indicators on Forecasting Accuracy -- Chapter 8. Granger-Causality Testing and LEI Forecasting of Quarterly Mergers and the Unemployment Rate -- Chapter 9. Active Management in Portfolio Selection and Management within Business Cycles and Present-Day COVID -- Chapter 10. Testing and Forecasting the Unemployment Rate with the Most Current Data, TCB LEI, data as of 11/05/2021 -- Chapter 11. Conclusions and Summary.

"This book blends two important topics: 1) An interesting history of research on economic growth and business cycles from the 1900's to today, and 2) A review and application of many of the newest econometric techniques to forecasting economic growth and stock prices. The integration of these two topics produce a volume that should be interesting and useful for both academics and practitioners in the fields of economics and finance." -Martin J. Gruber, Professor Emeritus and Scholar in Residence, NYU "John Guerard should be congratulated for writing an authoritative book on business cycles and the use of cyclical indicators in their historical perspectives. It covers the contributions of giants of the field including those by Wesley Mitchell, Arthur Burns, Geoffrey Moore, and Victor Zarnowitz, highlighting the statistical aspects of the issues involved. The book will specifically be useful for economic analysts and practitioners who are in the business of tracking the economy in real time." -Kajal Lahiri, Distinguished Professor of Economics and Health Policy, Mgt., & Behavior, University at Albany: SUNY In a time of unprecedented economic uncertainty, this book provides empirical guidance to the economy. This monograph explores time series forecasting and economic cycles using the Leading Economic Indicators, LEI, which are maintained and enhanced by The Conference Board. Given the highly statistically significant relationship with GDP and the unemployment rate, the LEI series is particularly useful for practitioners to help predict business cycles. John B. Guerard, Jr., is a member of the McKinley Capital Management Scientific Advisory Board, where he previously served as Director of Quantitative Research in Anchorage, Alaska. John is affiliated with the Computational Finance and Risk Management Program, The University of Washington, Seattle, WA. He earned his AB in Economics from Duke University and Ph.D. in Finance from the University of Texas, Austin. John serves an Associate Editor of the Journal of Investing and The International Journal of Forecasting and has published in these journals as well as Management Science, and Annals of Operations Research.

ISBN: 9783030994181

Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-030-99418-1doiSubjects--Topical Terms:

645813
Economic indicators
--United States.Subjects--Geographical Terms:

847616
United States
--Economic conditions--21st century.

LC Class. No.: HC106.84 / .G84 2022

Dewey Class. No.: 330.973

The leading economic indicators and business cycles in the United States = 100 years of empirical evidence and the opportunities for the future /
LDR:04354nmm a2200325 a 4500 001 2302553
003 DE-He213
005 20220706101135.0
006 m d
007 cr nn 008maaau
008 230409s2022 sz s 0 eng d
020 $a 9783030994181 $q (electronic bk.)
020 $a 9783030994174 $q (paper)
024 7 $a 10.1007/978-3-030-99418-1 $2 doi
035 $a 978-3-030-99418-1
040 $a GP $c GP
041 0 $a eng
050 4 $a HC106.84 $b .G84 2022
072 7 $a KCA $2 bicssc
072 7 $a BUS069030 $2 bisacsh
072 7 $a KCA $2 thema
082 0 4 $a 330.973 $2 23
090 $a HC106.84 $b .G929 2022
100 1 $a Guerard, John B. $3 3216899
245 1 4 $a The leading economic indicators and business cycles in the United States $h [electronic resource] : $b 100 years of empirical evidence and the opportunities for the future / $c by John B. Guerard.
260 $a Cham : $b Springer International Publishing : $b Imprint: Palgrave Macmillan, $c 2022.
300 $a xxiv, 650 p. : $b ill. (some col.), digital ; $c 24 cm.
505 0 $a Chapter 1. Economic Growth and Business Cycles in the United States -- Chapter 2. Mr. Wesley Clair Mitchell: The Advent of U.S. and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 3. Measuring Business Activity, An Introductions to the Contributions of Mr. Persons, Mr. Schumpeter, Mr. Haberler, and Mr. Eckstein -- Chapter 4. Mr. Burns and Mr. Mitchell on Measuring Business Cycles -- Chapter 5. Mr. Geoffrey Moore and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 6. Mr. Victor Zarnowitz and Economic Forecasting, and NBER Business Cycle Research -- Chapter 7. Regression and Time Series Modeling of Real GDP, the Unemployment Rate, and the Impact of Leading Economic Indicators on Forecasting Accuracy -- Chapter 8. Granger-Causality Testing and LEI Forecasting of Quarterly Mergers and the Unemployment Rate -- Chapter 9. Active Management in Portfolio Selection and Management within Business Cycles and Present-Day COVID -- Chapter 10. Testing and Forecasting the Unemployment Rate with the Most Current Data, TCB LEI, data as of 11/05/2021 -- Chapter 11. Conclusions and Summary.
520 $a "This book blends two important topics: 1) An interesting history of research on economic growth and business cycles from the 1900's to today, and 2) A review and application of many of the newest econometric techniques to forecasting economic growth and stock prices. The integration of these two topics produce a volume that should be interesting and useful for both academics and practitioners in the fields of economics and finance." -Martin J. Gruber, Professor Emeritus and Scholar in Residence, NYU "John Guerard should be congratulated for writing an authoritative book on business cycles and the use of cyclical indicators in their historical perspectives. It covers the contributions of giants of the field including those by Wesley Mitchell, Arthur Burns, Geoffrey Moore, and Victor Zarnowitz, highlighting the statistical aspects of the issues involved. The book will specifically be useful for economic analysts and practitioners who are in the business of tracking the economy in real time." -Kajal Lahiri, Distinguished Professor of Economics and Health Policy, Mgt., & Behavior, University at Albany: SUNY In a time of unprecedented economic uncertainty, this book provides empirical guidance to the economy. This monograph explores time series forecasting and economic cycles using the Leading Economic Indicators, LEI, which are maintained and enhanced by The Conference Board. Given the highly statistically significant relationship with GDP and the unemployment rate, the LEI series is particularly useful for practitioners to help predict business cycles. John B. Guerard, Jr., is a member of the McKinley Capital Management Scientific Advisory Board, where he previously served as Director of Quantitative Research in Anchorage, Alaska. John is affiliated with the Computational Finance and Risk Management Program, The University of Washington, Seattle, WA. He earned his AB in Economics from Duke University and Ph.D. in Finance from the University of Texas, Austin. John serves an Associate Editor of the Journal of Investing and The International Journal of Forecasting and has published in these journals as well as Management Science, and Annals of Operations Research.
650 0 $a Economic indicators $z United States. $3 645813
650 0 $a Economic forecasting $z United States. $3 570765
650 0 $a Business cycles $z United States. $3 572805
650 1 4 $a Quantitative Economics. $3 3538570
650 2 4 $a Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics. $3 3538569
650 2 4 $a Financial History. $3 2181787
651 0 $a United States $x Economic conditions $y 21st century. $3 847616
710 2 $a SpringerLink (Online service) $3 836513
773 0 $t Springer Nature eBook
856 4 0 $u https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-99418-1
950 $a Economics and Finance (SpringerNature-41170)