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Economic implications of China's pop...

Cheng, Kevin C.

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Economic implications of China's population in the 21st century.

Record Type:	Language materials, printed : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	Economic implications of China's population in the 21st century./
Author:	Cheng, Kevin C.
Description:	68 p.
Notes:	Adviser: D. Gale Johnson.
Contained By:	Dissertation Abstracts International63-04A.
Subject:	Economics, General. -
Online resource:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3048369
ISBN:	0493626743

Economic implications of China's population in the 21st century.
Cheng, Kevin C.

Economic implications of China's population in the 21st century. - 68 p.

Adviser: D. Gale Johnson.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--The University of Chicago, 2002.

China's population structure has been changing rapidly due to the fertility restrictions imposed by the Chinese government and other socio-economic factors. In my thesis, I first model how fertility rates (the actual rate and counterfactual rates as induced by alternative government policies) will affect future demographic structures (age distribution). Then by means of a numerical general equilibrium simulation study, I assess the impacts of different demographic structures on the Chinese economy in the 21<super>st</super> century.

ISBN: 0493626743Subjects--Topical Terms:

1017424
Economics, General.

Economic implications of China's population in the 21st century.
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020 $a 0493626743
035 $a (UnM)AAI3048369
035 $a AAI3048369
040 $a UnM $c UnM
100 1 $a Cheng, Kevin C. $3 1257529
245 1 0 $a Economic implications of China's population in the 21st century.
300 $a 68 p.
500 $a Adviser: D. Gale Johnson.
500 $a Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 63-04, Section: A, page: 1450.
502 $a Thesis (Ph.D.)--The University of Chicago, 2002.
520 $a China's population structure has been changing rapidly due to the fertility restrictions imposed by the Chinese government and other socio-economic factors. In my thesis, I first model how fertility rates (the actual rate and counterfactual rates as induced by alternative government policies) will affect future demographic structures (age distribution). Then by means of a numerical general equilibrium simulation study, I assess the impacts of different demographic structures on the Chinese economy in the 21<super>st</super> century.
520 $a My emphasis will be on economic variables such as capital flows, the rate of saving, the return to capital, the return to labor, and growth in income. I also examine how China's international capital linkages with the rest of the world affect the results.
520 $a My simulation shows that, regardless of international capital mobility, lower fertility rates yield lower savings rates. Since lower fertility rates reduce the supply of future labor, capital will become less productive if the fertility rate is low. Consequently, if international capital mobility is high in China, a low fertility rate will imply future capital outflows. But if capital is less mobile, low fertility levels today will lower the domestic return to capital and raise the domestic return to labor. Impacts on per-capita income are less clear.
590 $a School code: 0330.
650 4 $a Economics, General. $3 1017424
650 4 $a Sociology, Demography. $3 1020257
690 $a 0501
690 $a 0938
710 2 0 $a The University of Chicago. $3 1017389
773 0 $t Dissertation Abstracts International $g 63-04A.
790 $a 0330
790 1 0 $a Johnson, D. Gale, $e advisor
791 $a Ph.D.
792 $a 2002
856 4 0 $u http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=3048369