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Agricultural Adaptation to Climate C...

Toure, Marieme,

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Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence From Senegal /

Record Type:	Electronic resources : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence From Senegal // Marieme Toure.
Author:	Toure, Marieme,
Description:	1 electronic resource (137 pages)
Notes:	Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 86-07, Section: B.
Contained By:	Dissertations Abstracts International86-07B.
Subject:	Agriculture. -
Online resource:	https://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=31301631
ISBN:	9798302148391

Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence From Senegal /
Toure, Marieme,

Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence From Senegal /Marieme Toure. - 1 electronic resource (137 pages)

Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 86-07, Section: B.

Highly vulnerable to shocks associated with climate change, Senegal's crop production is subject to historical droughts and recent return of rains and their flooding consequences. Since these climate related events are expected to increase vulnerability to food security, particularly child malnutrition in the country, this dissertation is an effort to estimate the resulting impact of climate change on long-term crop production and on food security and on child malnutrition. To better understand climate trends in Senegal, chapter 1 presents historical temperatures and rainfall trends since 1960 as well as natural disasters events. That sets the groundwork to simulate long term cereal production of major crops in chapter 2. I used the calibrated crop simulation model (DSSAT) to project the impact of changes in planting area and grain yield of four major cereal crops (rice, maize, sorghum, and millet) in Senegal in terms of yield and total production, based on two climate emission scenarios (RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5). The long-term simulated yields were then used to estimate crop production for a range of different scenarios of planting area and yield change. Depending on the scenario, changes in national total production of the four combined cereals levels varied from 3.71 B kg to 4.52 B kg in 2050 and from 2.44 B kg to 2.83 B kg in 2080. Chapter 3 further discusses our simulated results with some alternatives and robustness checks allowing for technical change, changing quality of soil, and planting area variations. We found that while promising technologies could potentially increase cereal production by 857 M kg in 2050 and by 2.24 B kg in 2080, simulated production under projected soil with low water capacity holding might decrease expected cereal production by 1.73 B kg in 2050 and by 850 M kg in 2080. After presenting stylized facts of the climate-nutrition literature in sub-Saharan Africa, chapter 4 estimates that about 15,000 more children might be pushed to malnutrition between 2020 and 2050. Chapter 5 discusses policy issues, climate risks, and financialization of crops in Africa and in Senegal, in particular.

English

ISBN: 9798302148391Subjects--Topical Terms:

518588
Agriculture.
Subjects--Index Terms:

Grain yield

Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence From Senegal /
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520 $a Highly vulnerable to shocks associated with climate change, Senegal's crop production is subject to historical droughts and recent return of rains and their flooding consequences. Since these climate related events are expected to increase vulnerability to food security, particularly child malnutrition in the country, this dissertation is an effort to estimate the resulting impact of climate change on long-term crop production and on food security and on child malnutrition. To better understand climate trends in Senegal, chapter 1 presents historical temperatures and rainfall trends since 1960 as well as natural disasters events. That sets the groundwork to simulate long term cereal production of major crops in chapter 2. I used the calibrated crop simulation model (DSSAT) to project the impact of changes in planting area and grain yield of four major cereal crops (rice, maize, sorghum, and millet) in Senegal in terms of yield and total production, based on two climate emission scenarios (RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5). The long-term simulated yields were then used to estimate crop production for a range of different scenarios of planting area and yield change. Depending on the scenario, changes in national total production of the four combined cereals levels varied from 3.71 B kg to 4.52 B kg in 2050 and from 2.44 B kg to 2.83 B kg in 2080. Chapter 3 further discusses our simulated results with some alternatives and robustness checks allowing for technical change, changing quality of soil, and planting area variations. We found that while promising technologies could potentially increase cereal production by 857 M kg in 2050 and by 2.24 B kg in 2080, simulated production under projected soil with low water capacity holding might decrease expected cereal production by 1.73 B kg in 2050 and by 850 M kg in 2080. After presenting stylized facts of the climate-nutrition literature in sub-Saharan Africa, chapter 4 estimates that about 15,000 more children might be pushed to malnutrition between 2020 and 2050. Chapter 5 discusses policy issues, climate risks, and financialization of crops in Africa and in Senegal, in particular.
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