東華大學圖書館 |

Language: English

Help

回圖書館首頁

手機版館藏查詢

Back

Switch To: Labeled | MARC Mode | ISBD

Linked to FindBook

Google Book

Amazon

博客來

Risk-based project decisions in situations of high complexity and deep uncertainty

Record Type:	Electronic resources : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	Risk-based project decisions in situations of high complexity and deep uncertainty/ by Yuri G. Raydugin.
Author:	Raydugin, Yuri G.
Published:	Cham :Springer Nature Switzerland : : 2024.,
Description:	xxvii, 382 p. :ill., digital ;24 cm.
[NT 15003449]:	Introduction -- PRM and types of project uncertainties -- Overview of DMDU methodologies -- Project complexity concept -- Decision-making framework -- Selection of project options in situations of deep uncertainty -- Development of project schedule and cost contingencies in complex projects -- Cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility risk assessment methods -- High-level overview of simplistic Monte Carlo and parametric risk assessment methods -- Case study 1: applications of a tradition PRM (scoring method) -- Case study 2: applications of "linear Monte Carlo" methodology -- Case study 3: applications of "non-linear Monte Carlo" methodology -- Case study 4: selection of project options (a few "futures") -- Case study 5: selection of project options (multiple "futures") -- Case study 6: applications of cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility modelling methods -- Conclusion.
Contained By:	Springer Nature eBook
Subject:	Risk management. -
Online resource:	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-56988-3
ISBN:	9783031569883

Risk-based project decisions in situations of high complexity and deep uncertainty
Raydugin, Yuri G.

Risk-based project decisions in situations of high complexity and deep uncertainty[electronic resource] /by Yuri G. Raydugin. - Cham :Springer Nature Switzerland :2024. - xxvii, 382 p. :ill., digital ;24 cm.

Introduction -- PRM and types of project uncertainties -- Overview of DMDU methodologies -- Project complexity concept -- Decision-making framework -- Selection of project options in situations of deep uncertainty -- Development of project schedule and cost contingencies in complex projects -- Cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility risk assessment methods -- High-level overview of simplistic Monte Carlo and parametric risk assessment methods -- Case study 1: applications of a tradition PRM (scoring method) -- Case study 2: applications of "linear Monte Carlo" methodology -- Case study 3: applications of "non-linear Monte Carlo" methodology -- Case study 4: selection of project options (a few "futures") -- Case study 5: selection of project options (multiple "futures") -- Case study 6: applications of cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility modelling methods -- Conclusion.

This book integrates for readers three areas of knowledge, pertaining to risk-based project decision making: project risk management (PRM), complexity theory, and decision-making under deep uncertainty (DMDU) Readers will appreciate that in practice, too often relevant complexity and uncertainty factors are either ignored or overlooked resulting in epic project failures. The author discusses a variety of methodologies and a decision-tree-type framework to determine why, when and how particular methodologies should be applied to ensure project success. These include nonlinear Monte Carlo techniques, a dynamic adaptive methodology to adapt to external environment changes, game theory for devising robust decision-making criteria, systems dynamics and cost escalation modelling, as well as risk-based & economic-based alternatives selection methodologies. This book will be an eye-opener for many PRM practitioners, helping to increase their chances of project success by properly handlinginescapable project-complexity and deep-uncertainty implications in specific contexts. Integrates project risk management (PRM), complexity theory, and decision-making under deep uncertainty (DMDU); Provides conceptual overview of PRM, project complexity and DMDU methodologies, their interdependencies and integration; Enables robust, risk-based decision-making for contingency development and alternatives selection, rooted in game theory.

ISBN: 9783031569883

Standard No.: 10.1007/978-3-031-56988-3doiSubjects--Topical Terms:

540477
Risk management.

LC Class. No.: HD61

Dewey Class. No.: 658.155

Risk-based project decisions in situations of high complexity and deep uncertainty
LDR:03384nmm a2200349 a 4500 001 2372037
003 DE-He213
005 20240701114459.0
006 m d
007 cr nn 008maaau
008 241127s2024 sz s 0 eng d
020 $a 9783031569883 $q (electronic bk.)
020 $a 9783031569876 $q (paper)
024 7 $a 10.1007/978-3-031-56988-3 $2 doi
035 $a 978-3-031-56988-3
040 $a GP $c GP
041 0 $a eng
050 4 $a HD61
072 7 $a KJT $2 bicssc
072 7 $a KJMD $2 bicssc
072 7 $a BUS049000 $2 bisacsh
072 7 $a KJT $2 thema
072 7 $a KJMD $2 thema
082 0 4 $a 658.155 $2 23
090 $a HD61 $b .R265 2024
100 1 $a Raydugin, Yuri G. $3 3718474
245 1 0 $a Risk-based project decisions in situations of high complexity and deep uncertainty $h [electronic resource] / $c by Yuri G. Raydugin.
260 $a Cham : $b Springer Nature Switzerland : $b Imprint: Springer, $c 2024.
300 $a xxvii, 382 p. : $b ill., digital ; $c 24 cm.
505 0 $a Introduction -- PRM and types of project uncertainties -- Overview of DMDU methodologies -- Project complexity concept -- Decision-making framework -- Selection of project options in situations of deep uncertainty -- Development of project schedule and cost contingencies in complex projects -- Cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility risk assessment methods -- High-level overview of simplistic Monte Carlo and parametric risk assessment methods -- Case study 1: applications of a tradition PRM (scoring method) -- Case study 2: applications of "linear Monte Carlo" methodology -- Case study 3: applications of "non-linear Monte Carlo" methodology -- Case study 4: selection of project options (a few "futures") -- Case study 5: selection of project options (multiple "futures") -- Case study 6: applications of cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility modelling methods -- Conclusion.
520 $a This book integrates for readers three areas of knowledge, pertaining to risk-based project decision making: project risk management (PRM), complexity theory, and decision-making under deep uncertainty (DMDU) Readers will appreciate that in practice, too often relevant complexity and uncertainty factors are either ignored or overlooked resulting in epic project failures. The author discusses a variety of methodologies and a decision-tree-type framework to determine why, when and how particular methodologies should be applied to ensure project success. These include nonlinear Monte Carlo techniques, a dynamic adaptive methodology to adapt to external environment changes, game theory for devising robust decision-making criteria, systems dynamics and cost escalation modelling, as well as risk-based & economic-based alternatives selection methodologies. This book will be an eye-opener for many PRM practitioners, helping to increase their chances of project success by properly handlinginescapable project-complexity and deep-uncertainty implications in specific contexts. Integrates project risk management (PRM), complexity theory, and decision-making under deep uncertainty (DMDU); Provides conceptual overview of PRM, project complexity and DMDU methodologies, their interdependencies and integration; Enables robust, risk-based decision-making for contingency development and alternatives selection, rooted in game theory.
650 0 $a Risk management. $3 540477
650 0 $a Project management. $3 578186
650 1 4 $a Operations Research and Decision Theory. $3 3591727
650 2 4 $a Innovation and Technology Management. $3 3538485
650 2 4 $a Risk Management. $3 608953
710 2 $a SpringerLink (Online service) $3 836513
773 0 $t Springer Nature eBook
856 4 0 $u https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-56988-3
950 $a Business and Management (SpringerNature-41169)