東華大學圖書館 |

Hunger in Conflict : = A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of Armed Conflict on Food Security in West Africa and Afghanistan.

Record Type:	Electronic resources : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	Hunger in Conflict :/
Reminder of title:	A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of Armed Conflict on Food Security in West Africa and Afghanistan.
Author:	Cook-Pellegrin, Kathryn.
Description:	1 online resource (82 pages)
Notes:	Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 84-03.
Contained By:	Masters Abstracts International84-03.
Subject:	Sustainability. -
Online resource:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=29395699click for full text (PQDT)
ISBN:	9798351458250

Hunger in Conflict : = A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of Armed Conflict on Food Security in West Africa and Afghanistan.
Cook-Pellegrin, Kathryn.

Hunger in Conflict :A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of Armed Conflict on Food Security in West Africa and Afghanistan. - 1 online resource (82 pages)

Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 84-03.

Thesis (A.L.M.)--Harvard University, 2022.

Includes bibliographical references

Half of the world's undernourished population lives in a country experiencing armed conflict or violence (FAO, 2021). As the main driver of food insecurity, conflict has pushed some 99.1 million people into acute food insecurity in 2020 alone(FSIN, 2021). Additionally, the impacts of COVID-19, climate change, and poverty threaten to exacerbate these already fragile situations, pushing more people towards extreme vulnerability and food crisis (FEWS NET, n.d.). Food insecurity is particularly prevalent in protracted conflicts, where years of violence have worn down government institutions, economies and resources that might otherwise help their populations cope (Peters et al., 2019). Delivering humanitarian assistance is challenging amidst growing needs in increasingly complex environments, and resources are limited. However, response could be improved through a better understanding of how and where violence has the greatest impact on food security, allowing organizations to better target the most vulnerable populations. My research sought to quantify the statistical significance of armed conflict on food security through case studies in West Africa and Afghanistan. I evaluated the duration and intensity of conflict on Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) levels at both the province and district levels, as well as a temporal analysis through seasonal and timeline regressions.My study was guided by three main questions: how would IPC levels change with different accumulations of fatalities? How does the duration and intensity of violence impact IPC levels? Which administration levels show the highest correlation between IPC level and violence? I hypothesized that there is a strong correlation between conflict and IPC levels with 12 months of aggregated fatalities, showing the most robust results at an admin 1 level. In addition, I hypothesized that correlations would be stronger in the lean season versus other times of the year. I began my research by producing an attribute table that matched IPC and fatality data to all admin units, which allowed me to analyze data trends and prepare a classification of possible scenarios. Through statistical regression, I quantified the extent to which the duration and intensity of fatalities impacted IPC levels on both province and district levels. Statistical regressions were also performed on seasonal aggregations in addition to a timeline analysis.The results of the analysis found that the fluctuation in fatality and IPC levels are generally correlated. In Afghanistan this trend was apparent across 24 out of 32provinces, while in West African countries it was less visible, with three provinces in Nigeria, one in Chad, and none in Mali, Cameroon, or Niger. The strongest correlations were found at the largest admin 1 level with 12 months of aggregated fatalities. However, the results also show that in certain contexts with a prolonged intensity of conflict fatalities, IPC levels and fatalities are correlated and then experience a "tipping point" moment in which IPC levels and fatalities decouple. IPC levels remain high as conflict fatalities decrease. The results of all analyses were transformed into a graduated map that indicates the sensitivity of IPC levels to conflict fatalities. This tool can serve governments, policymakers, and organizations in planning humanitarian food assistance programs, adaptation and mitigation strategies.

Electronic reproduction.
Ann Arbor, Mich. :
ProQuest,
2023

Mode of access: World Wide Web

ISBN: 9798351458250Subjects--Topical Terms:

1029978
Sustainability.
Subjects--Index Terms:

AfghanistanIndex Terms--Genre/Form:

542853
Electronic books.

Hunger in Conflict : = A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of Armed Conflict on Food Security in West Africa and Afghanistan.
LDR:04837nmm a2200409K 4500 001 2359843
005 20230917195302.5
006 m o d
007 cr mn ---uuuuu
008 241011s2022 xx obm 000 0 eng d
020 $a 9798351458250
035 $a (MiAaPQ)AAI29395699
035 $a AAI29395699
040 $a MiAaPQ $b eng $c MiAaPQ $d NTU
100 1 $a Cook-Pellegrin, Kathryn. $3 3700457
245 1 0 $a Hunger in Conflict : $b A Quantitative Analysis of the Effects of Armed Conflict on Food Security in West Africa and Afghanistan.
264 0 $c 2022
300 $a 1 online resource (82 pages)
336 $a text $b txt $2 rdacontent
337 $a computer $b c $2 rdamedia
338 $a online resource $b cr $2 rdacarrier
500 $a Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 84-03.
500 $a Advisor: Leighton, Mark.
502 $a Thesis (A.L.M.)--Harvard University, 2022.
504 $a Includes bibliographical references
520 $a Half of the world's undernourished population lives in a country experiencing armed conflict or violence (FAO, 2021). As the main driver of food insecurity, conflict has pushed some 99.1 million people into acute food insecurity in 2020 alone(FSIN, 2021). Additionally, the impacts of COVID-19, climate change, and poverty threaten to exacerbate these already fragile situations, pushing more people towards extreme vulnerability and food crisis (FEWS NET, n.d.). Food insecurity is particularly prevalent in protracted conflicts, where years of violence have worn down government institutions, economies and resources that might otherwise help their populations cope (Peters et al., 2019). Delivering humanitarian assistance is challenging amidst growing needs in increasingly complex environments, and resources are limited. However, response could be improved through a better understanding of how and where violence has the greatest impact on food security, allowing organizations to better target the most vulnerable populations. My research sought to quantify the statistical significance of armed conflict on food security through case studies in West Africa and Afghanistan. I evaluated the duration and intensity of conflict on Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) levels at both the province and district levels, as well as a temporal analysis through seasonal and timeline regressions.My study was guided by three main questions: how would IPC levels change with different accumulations of fatalities? How does the duration and intensity of violence impact IPC levels? Which administration levels show the highest correlation between IPC level and violence? I hypothesized that there is a strong correlation between conflict and IPC levels with 12 months of aggregated fatalities, showing the most robust results at an admin 1 level. In addition, I hypothesized that correlations would be stronger in the lean season versus other times of the year. I began my research by producing an attribute table that matched IPC and fatality data to all admin units, which allowed me to analyze data trends and prepare a classification of possible scenarios. Through statistical regression, I quantified the extent to which the duration and intensity of fatalities impacted IPC levels on both province and district levels. Statistical regressions were also performed on seasonal aggregations in addition to a timeline analysis.The results of the analysis found that the fluctuation in fatality and IPC levels are generally correlated. In Afghanistan this trend was apparent across 24 out of 32provinces, while in West African countries it was less visible, with three provinces in Nigeria, one in Chad, and none in Mali, Cameroon, or Niger. The strongest correlations were found at the largest admin 1 level with 12 months of aggregated fatalities. However, the results also show that in certain contexts with a prolonged intensity of conflict fatalities, IPC levels and fatalities are correlated and then experience a "tipping point" moment in which IPC levels and fatalities decouple. IPC levels remain high as conflict fatalities decrease. The results of all analyses were transformed into a graduated map that indicates the sensitivity of IPC levels to conflict fatalities. This tool can serve governments, policymakers, and organizations in planning humanitarian food assistance programs, adaptation and mitigation strategies.
533 $a Electronic reproduction. $b Ann Arbor, Mich. : $c ProQuest, $d 2023
538 $a Mode of access: World Wide Web
650 4 $a Sustainability. $3 1029978
650 4 $a Military studies. $3 2197382
650 4 $a Middle Eastern studies. $3 3168421
653 $a Afghanistan
653 $a Armed conflict
653 $a Food security
653 $a Hunger
653 $a War
653 $a West Africa
655 7 $a Electronic books. $2 lcsh $3 542853
690 $a 0640
690 $a 0750
690 $a 0555
710 2 $a ProQuest Information and Learning Co. $3 783688
710 2 $a Harvard University. $b Extension Studies. $3 3560717
773 0 $t Masters Abstracts International $g 84-03.
856 4 0 $u http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=29395699 $z click for full text (PQDT)