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Past Actions and Expertise : = How States Infer Enemy Intentions.

Record Type:	Electronic resources : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	Past Actions and Expertise :/
Reminder of title:	How States Infer Enemy Intentions.
Author:	Aoki, Yu.
Description:	1 online resource (233 pages)
Notes:	Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 84-02, Section: A.
Contained By:	Dissertations Abstracts International84-02A.
Subject:	Political science. -
Online resource:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=29258846click for full text (PQDT)
ISBN:	9798837527937

Past Actions and Expertise : = How States Infer Enemy Intentions.
Aoki, Yu.

Past Actions and Expertise :How States Infer Enemy Intentions. - 1 online resource (233 pages)

Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 84-02, Section: A.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--City University of New York, 2022.

Includes bibliographical references

Whether and how a state's past military (in)actions affect perceptions of its resolve and intentions has been disputed. This dissertation argues that non-experts and experts in governments use enemy past actions differently to infer enemy resolve and intentions. Experts are those who have rich knowledge about enemies (e.g., country specialists and intelligence analysts), whereas non-experts are those who do not (e.g., top policymakers). The theory argues that non-experts are influenced by what psychologists call the "negativity bias," which compels them to pay more attention to negative information than positive information concerning enemies. On the other hand, building on experimental findings that professional skills mitigate biases, the theory argues experts' professional knowledge about enemies mitigates the negativity bias. As a result, faced with the same set of information concerning enemies, including their past actions, these two groups reach different conclusions about their resolve and intentions. Utilizing primary sources extensively, this dissertation shows the theory's plausibility by examining how US officials assessed their enemies' resolve and intentions in three cases from the Cold War.

Electronic reproduction.
Ann Arbor, Mich. :
ProQuest,
2023

Mode of access: World Wide Web

ISBN: 9798837527937Subjects--Topical Terms:

528916
Political science.
Subjects--Index Terms:

IntentionsIndex Terms--Genre/Form:

542853
Electronic books.

Past Actions and Expertise : = How States Infer Enemy Intentions.
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500 $a Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 84-02, Section: A.
500 $a Advisor: Liberman, Peter.
502 $a Thesis (Ph.D.)--City University of New York, 2022.
504 $a Includes bibliographical references
520 $a Whether and how a state's past military (in)actions affect perceptions of its resolve and intentions has been disputed. This dissertation argues that non-experts and experts in governments use enemy past actions differently to infer enemy resolve and intentions. Experts are those who have rich knowledge about enemies (e.g., country specialists and intelligence analysts), whereas non-experts are those who do not (e.g., top policymakers). The theory argues that non-experts are influenced by what psychologists call the "negativity bias," which compels them to pay more attention to negative information than positive information concerning enemies. On the other hand, building on experimental findings that professional skills mitigate biases, the theory argues experts' professional knowledge about enemies mitigates the negativity bias. As a result, faced with the same set of information concerning enemies, including their past actions, these two groups reach different conclusions about their resolve and intentions. Utilizing primary sources extensively, this dissertation shows the theory's plausibility by examining how US officials assessed their enemies' resolve and intentions in three cases from the Cold War.
533 $a Electronic reproduction. $b Ann Arbor, Mich. : $c ProQuest, $d 2023
538 $a Mode of access: World Wide Web
650 4 $a Political science. $3 528916
650 4 $a Public administration. $3 531287
650 4 $a Military studies. $3 2197382
650 4 $a Peace studies. $3 3172392
653 $a Intentions
653 $a Past actions
653 $a Reputation
653 $a Resolve
653 $a Signaling
653 $a Threat perceptions
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710 2 $a ProQuest Information and Learning Co. $3 783688
710 2 $a City University of New York. $b Political Science. $3 1022375
773 0 $t Dissertations Abstracts International $g 84-02A.
856 4 0 $u http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=29258846 $z click for full text (PQDT)