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Convergence to Population Stability in India : = A State-Wise Assessment of Demographic Potential and Demographic Dividend.

Record Type:	Electronic resources : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	Convergence to Population Stability in India :/
Reminder of title:	A State-Wise Assessment of Demographic Potential and Demographic Dividend.
Author:	Verma, Raj Kumar.
Description:	1 online resource (286 pages)
Notes:	Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 82-09, Section: A.
Contained By:	Dissertations Abstracts International82-09A.
Subject:	Demography. -
Online resource:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=28470571click for full text (PQDT)
ISBN:	9798597012148

Convergence to Population Stability in India : = A State-Wise Assessment of Demographic Potential and Demographic Dividend.
Verma, Raj Kumar.

Convergence to Population Stability in India :A State-Wise Assessment of Demographic Potential and Demographic Dividend. - 1 online resource (286 pages)

Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 82-09, Section: A.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--International Institute for Population Sciences University, 2019.

Includes bibliographical references

Objectives of the thesis: The main objective of this study is to assess the combined effect of mortality and fertility schedules on the age-structural transition at sub-national level, and to understanding the dynamics of the age-structure towards prospective population growth in terms of stabilization process and population momentum. Apart from visualizing the longterm population scenario, the short-term projection for next fifty years is an additional objective which provides the near to real population prospective. Furthermore, this study aims to explore how age structural transition would create conducive environment to accelerate the economic growth in terms of demographic dividend at sub-national level.Data and methods: Utilizing data from census and Sample Registration System, this study investigates the demographic potential and stabilization using classic concepts of 'Fisher's reproductive value', 'Kullback distance' and decomposing population momentum. Assessment of 'window of opportunity' and demographic dividend is based NTA framework for which age-sex wise population projection is done for the period 2011-2061. Summary of the findings: Empirical examination through this study envisions that future population growths of the Indian states are mostly attributable to the population momentum. For example, the high fertility states like UP, Bihar, MP, and Rajasthan will initially grow due to their high fertility and once they achieve below replacement fertility, the further population growth would be prominently attributable to their younger age structure. On the other hand, South Indian states, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh would have its prospective growth since their age distributions are still favorable to higher birth. Therefore, target towards achieving replacement level fertility will not be enough to decelerate the population growth. Rather, how fast it is achieved and how the mean age of childbearing is extended to dissipates the age effect, are equally important approach for a sustainable population growth. For most of the states, the windows of opportunity had started during the period of 1971 to 1981 and are expected to get finished in the decades of 2030s or 2040s. On the contrary, the bigger states with high fertility and slower transition like UP, Bihar, MP and Rajasthan are expected to enjoy the first dividend phase for next 25-35 years. Therefore, most states have still few additional years when they could enjoy the benefit of demographic bonus. However, this study has strong view that the failure of these states to attract new investment and to generate new employment opportunities may turn India's demographic boon into a bane.

Electronic reproduction.
Ann Arbor, Mich. :
ProQuest,
2023

Mode of access: World Wide Web

ISBN: 9798597012148Subjects--Topical Terms:

614991
Demography.
Subjects--Index Terms:

ConvergenceIndex Terms--Genre/Form:

542853
Electronic books.

Convergence to Population Stability in India : = A State-Wise Assessment of Demographic Potential and Demographic Dividend.
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500 $a Advisor: Ram, Faujdar.
502 $a Thesis (Ph.D.)--International Institute for Population Sciences University, 2019.
504 $a Includes bibliographical references
520 $a Objectives of the thesis: The main objective of this study is to assess the combined effect of mortality and fertility schedules on the age-structural transition at sub-national level, and to understanding the dynamics of the age-structure towards prospective population growth in terms of stabilization process and population momentum. Apart from visualizing the longterm population scenario, the short-term projection for next fifty years is an additional objective which provides the near to real population prospective. Furthermore, this study aims to explore how age structural transition would create conducive environment to accelerate the economic growth in terms of demographic dividend at sub-national level.Data and methods: Utilizing data from census and Sample Registration System, this study investigates the demographic potential and stabilization using classic concepts of 'Fisher's reproductive value', 'Kullback distance' and decomposing population momentum. Assessment of 'window of opportunity' and demographic dividend is based NTA framework for which age-sex wise population projection is done for the period 2011-2061. Summary of the findings: Empirical examination through this study envisions that future population growths of the Indian states are mostly attributable to the population momentum. For example, the high fertility states like UP, Bihar, MP, and Rajasthan will initially grow due to their high fertility and once they achieve below replacement fertility, the further population growth would be prominently attributable to their younger age structure. On the other hand, South Indian states, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh would have its prospective growth since their age distributions are still favorable to higher birth. Therefore, target towards achieving replacement level fertility will not be enough to decelerate the population growth. Rather, how fast it is achieved and how the mean age of childbearing is extended to dissipates the age effect, are equally important approach for a sustainable population growth. For most of the states, the windows of opportunity had started during the period of 1971 to 1981 and are expected to get finished in the decades of 2030s or 2040s. On the contrary, the bigger states with high fertility and slower transition like UP, Bihar, MP and Rajasthan are expected to enjoy the first dividend phase for next 25-35 years. Therefore, most states have still few additional years when they could enjoy the benefit of demographic bonus. However, this study has strong view that the failure of these states to attract new investment and to generate new employment opportunities may turn India's demographic boon into a bane.
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650 4 $a Individual & family studies. $3 2122770
650 4 $a Social research. $3 2122687
650 4 $a Southeast Asian studies. $3 3344898
653 $a Convergence
653 $a Population stability
653 $a Mortality
653 $a Fertility
653 $a Age-structural transition
653 $a Stabilization process
653 $a Economic growth
653 $a Population momentum
653 $a India
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