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A steadying hand or a strike in the ...

Dittmeier, Christopher R.

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A steadying hand or a strike in the night: Proliferation, preemption, and intervention in the nuclearization of second-tier states.

Record Type:	Language materials, printed : Monograph/item
Title/Author:	A steadying hand or a strike in the night: Proliferation, preemption, and intervention in the nuclearization of second-tier states./
Author:	Dittmeier, Christopher R.
Description:	49 p.
Notes:	Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 48-06, page: 3422.
Contained By:	Masters Abstracts International48-06.
Subject:	Political Science, International Law and Relations. -
Online resource:	http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=1477528
ISBN:	9781124053226

A steadying hand or a strike in the night: Proliferation, preemption, and intervention in the nuclearization of second-tier states.
Dittmeier, Christopher R.

A steadying hand or a strike in the night: Proliferation, preemption, and intervention in the nuclearization of second-tier states. - 49 p.

Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 48-06, page: 3422.

Thesis (M.A.)--The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 2010.

Nuclear proliferation has in part led to a vastly-different security environment from that which existed during the Cold War. While Schelling's theory of deterrence through mutually-assured destruction established a precarious stability for forty years among the great powers, its assumptions render it of limited utility for evaluating the effects of nuclear proliferation below this level. Using an elaboration on Powell's bargaining models of conflict, this paper shows that the introduction of nuclear weapons in second-tier states radically alters the future distribution of power. These states therefore face a commitment problem vis-a-vis conventionally-stronger neighbors, inviting preemptive attacks on soon-to-be nuclear powers. This paper analyzes the dynamics behind this problem, as well as offers a theory of great-power intervention that explains the empirical lack of preemption.

ISBN: 9781124053226Subjects--Topical Terms:

1017399
Political Science, International Law and Relations.

A steadying hand or a strike in the night: Proliferation, preemption, and intervention in the nuclearization of second-tier states.
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100 1 $a Dittmeier, Christopher R. $3 2103568
245 1 2 $a A steadying hand or a strike in the night: Proliferation, preemption, and intervention in the nuclearization of second-tier states.
300 $a 49 p.
500 $a Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 48-06, page: 3422.
500 $a Adviser: Mark J. C. Crescenzi.
502 $a Thesis (M.A.)--The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 2010.
520 $a Nuclear proliferation has in part led to a vastly-different security environment from that which existed during the Cold War. While Schelling's theory of deterrence through mutually-assured destruction established a precarious stability for forty years among the great powers, its assumptions render it of limited utility for evaluating the effects of nuclear proliferation below this level. Using an elaboration on Powell's bargaining models of conflict, this paper shows that the introduction of nuclear weapons in second-tier states radically alters the future distribution of power. These states therefore face a commitment problem vis-a-vis conventionally-stronger neighbors, inviting preemptive attacks on soon-to-be nuclear powers. This paper analyzes the dynamics behind this problem, as well as offers a theory of great-power intervention that explains the empirical lack of preemption.
520 $a Keywords: bargaining model; commitment problem; conflict initiation; extended deterrence; nuclear weapons.
590 $a School code: 0153.
650 4 $a Political Science, International Law and Relations. $3 1017399
650 4 $a Political Science, General. $3 1017391
650 4 $a Military Studies. $3 1017606
650 4 $a Political Science, International Relations. $3 1669648
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710 2 $a The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. $b Political Science. $3 1064900
773 0 $t Masters Abstracts International $g 48-06.
790 $a 0153
791 $a M.A.
792 $a 2010
793 $a English
856 4 0 $u http://pqdd.sinica.edu.tw/twdaoapp/servlet/advanced?query=1477528